Choosing the right match to bet on is sometimes more important than making the right prediction. Especially dangerous are the meetings involving your favorite team.
Selecting the right match is already half the battle. Analyzing the games in advance will increase your chances of making a profit over the distance. In this article, we will break down the criteria for selecting matches and how to bet on soccer correctly.
Criteria for match selection for betting
Select matches for betting according to the following criteria.
Type of sport
Most players bet on popular sports and top competitions. The most popular sport for betting is soccer. In 2019, it accounted for 38% of all bets.
There are players who prefer unpopular sports and bet on the underrated by bookmakers. Such bets are called valuys.
Valuys bets:
The odds do not reflect the actual probability of the outcome because it includes margin. Bookmakers adjust odds due to players’ bets, new information about the balance of power or due to events during the match.
If the odds on one outcome are constantly decreasing, it means the players of the bookmaker’s office made a large number of bets on this choice. You can make a profit on it:
Tournament motivation
The importance of the match for the team helps to better assess the chances of the opponents.
For example, for a friendly match or the return match of a cup match after a resounding victory in the first match, the favorite can play the reserve team. This way the initial sure thing can become risky.
If a team needs a win of two or more goals in the European Cup playoffs, this team will attack with a one-goal lead.
Betting markets
Pay attention to additional betting markets. For example, in a soccer match between a clear favorite and a hopeless underdog, the odds on a victory of the former may be less than 1.15.
To increase the potential profit, you can bet on the first goal of the favorite, on the head-to-head or corner kicks and even on the ball possession advantage.
How to bet on soccer
- Study the statistics. Take into account the statistics of head-to-head encounters between teams from the same division, their playing style, the form of teams, staffing problems and so on.
- Do not bet “blind” on favorites, especially away against a team that plays well in home games.
- Determine the probability of the outcome and the value of the bet on a particular outcome by yourself and then compare it to the bookmaker’s odds.
- Do not bet on sporting events involving teams you have a personal liking for.
Analyze the betting statistics in test mode and make adjustments to the rules for selecting sporting events for betting. Change your playing strategy if necessary.
With a passing rate of 70-80% at a distance you can go into deficit. And if you correctly guessed 30% of the outcomes you can be in the plus.
A lot depends on the choice of matches for betting and odds, but not everything. Strategies for distributing the bankroll are important. This is financial management, when you follow your chosen plan.
To bet on soccer or another sport, conduct a comprehensive analysis. In addition to statistics, take into account the movement of odds, the latest news, starting lineups and expert opinions.